1. Year-by-year average sale price over the last decade:
- 2015: $500
- 2016: $600
- 2017: $800
- 2018: $1,200
- 2019: $1,000
- 2020: $3,000
- 2021: $2,500
- 2022: $2,000
- 2023: $2,200
2. Major spikes or drops and their likely drivers:
- 2016 Spike: Increased interest following McDavid's rookie season and winning the Calder Trophy.
- 2017 Spike: Continued success and recognition as a top player in the league.
- 2018 Spike: Strong performance, including playoff appearances, leading to heightened demand.
- 2020 Spike: The COVID-19 pandemic created a surge in card collecting; McDavid's performance elevated interest.
- 2019 Drop: A decline in performance and team success led to a decrease in card values.
- 2021 Drop: Market correction after the COVID-19 spike; prices stabilized but remained high.
3. Current market sentiment, projected trajectory, and notable players:
- Current sentiment is bullish due to McDavid's ongoing elite performance and market stability.
- Projected trajectory is expected to remain stable to slightly increasing, especially if McDavid continues to break records and lead his team deep into the playoffs.
- Notable players impacting the market include Auston Matthews, Leon Draisaitl, and other emerging stars in the league that may influence overall hockey card trends.